Daily News Latest trending news
The Week That Was once: 2021-09-18 (September 18, 2021)
Delivered to You by means of SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “skepticism is the very best of tasks; blind religion the only unpardonable sin” – Thomas Huxley [H/t Jim Steele]
Selection of the Week: – 68.three%
THIS WEEK:
By means of Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: For the previous a number of weeks TWTW has been reviewing one of the deficiencies within the 6th Evaluate File (AR6, 2021) by means of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Trade (IPCC), in particular its Abstract for Policymakers (SPM) which incorporates a new hockey-stick with little proof supporting it. Feedback by means of statistician Steve McIntyre are devastating. He traced that the assertions that temperatures were solid as much as the commercial revolution come from a collection of reports by means of a global paleoclimatology crew founded in Bern, Switzerland, referred to as PAGES 2k (PAst Global ChangES with 2k regarding the previous 2000 years). The information are maintained by means of NOAA in Boulder. Essentially the most devastating grievance is the planned omission of high-resolution, well-established proxy reports of alkenone deposits (produced by means of marine algae). Those deposits come with the ones in limestone beds, and date again hundreds of thousands of years.
In gentle of the bodily proof, TWTW will remark at the UN’s false claims that “extraordinary and threatening” international warming is inflicting a weather emergency. Additionally mentioned is failure of possible choices to fossil fuels in Europe and in the United States. This TWTW will come with the restoration of Arctic sea ice with the northern wintry weather coming near. Opposite to claims, this yr, Arctic sea ice won’t disappear, and polar bears won’t quickly develop into extinct.
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In search of the 2000-year Hockey-stick: As mentioned within the September four TWTW, the “Abstract for Policymakers” of the Bodily Science Foundation of 6th Evaluate File (AR6) by means of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Trade (IPCC) is used to justify drastic adjustments in the usage of fossil fuels. Given the magnitude of such adjustments, the report will have to be of the very best clinical criteria and reveal the clinical integrity of the IPCC. Stephen McIntyre examines the level of information, or lack thereof, overlaying the area of the Southern Hemisphere from Zero° to 30° South Latitude. Put bluntly, there aren’t any important archived information supporting a hockey-stick form for temperature developments over the last 2000 years. Certainly:
“Best 4 PAGES2019 sequence within the Zero-60S latband [latitude band] get started previous to AD1100 and none of them have a HS [hockey-stick] form.”
Thus, McIntyre has no longer been in a position to seek out archived information supporting the IPCC declare of a hockey-stick. This week, McIntyre lined the outside of the Northern Hemisphere from the equator (Zero°) to 30° North Latitude. Thus, he has lined all of the tropical area this is ceaselessly described as 30° North to 30° South Latitude. McIntyre writes:
“Subsequent, the PAGES2019 Zero-30N latband. Their CPS reconstruction (CPS) for the Zero-30N latband (extracted from the worldwide reconstruction) appears virtually precisely the similar as reconstructions for the Zero-30S and 30-60S latbands. On the other hand, none of the particular proxies on this latband glance remotely just like the latband reconstruction, as I’ll display underneath. For the duration of analyzing the proxies on this latband, I seemed again at Zero-30N latband in prior PAGES compilations (2013 and 2017) and Mann et al 2008. The evolution of the proxy community is slightly attention-grabbing: essentially the most notable characteristic is the expanding dominance of brief (1-200 yr) coral sequence in a community supposedly reconstructing the previous 2000 years.”
From a paper written by means of Mr. Mann et al. printed in 2008, CPS approach a composite plus scale method:
“Maximum makes an attempt to reconstruct hemispheric temperatures have used some variant at the “composite plus scale” (CPS) method (10), during which proxy information (comparable to tree rings, ice cores, or corals) thought to be to be delicate to previous floor temperature permutations are standardized and focused, doubtlessly weighted, after which composited to shape a regional or hemispheric sequence. The ensuing sequence is then regressed or just scaled towards the objective instrumental sequence (e.g., the Northern Hemisphere imply annual temperature sequence) to yield a reconstruction of hemispheric or international imply temperature.” [(10) is a connection with a 2004 paper by means of Jones and Mann “Local weather over previous millennia.”
After presenting the brand new hockey-stick from the PAGES2019 reconstruction for the tropics within the Northern Hemisphere, McIntyre writes:
The main objective of “2000 yr” proxy reconstructions of temperature is to check fashionable temperature to estimates of medieval and primary millennium temperatures. There are 41 proxies within the Zero-30N community, however best 3 proxies with values earlier than AD1200 and just one (!?!) proxy with values previous to AD925 (see diagram underneath). [Boldface in unique]
The only lengthy proxy with values throughout the first millennium is a temperature reconstruction from Mg/Ca values from an ocean core offshore northern Africa. Its values decline unevenly throughout the previous two millenia, with very minor restoration in 20th century. If that is the ONLY information for the Zero-30N latband thru many of the first millennium, how can PAGES2K say with any self belief that fashionable values are upper than first millennium values? They are able to’t. My wager is that their set of rules(s) by hook or by crook paste 20th century developments in coral d18O [containing heavy isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen] onto non-descript or declining lengthy proxies, however this is, at the present, only a surmise. All one can say needless to say is that, according to the PAGES2019 Zero-30N proxy community, it’s inconceivable to claim that fashionable temperatures on this latband exceed first millennium values (or vice versa.)
The one proxy courting previous to AD925 displays a coarse decline since concerning the yr AD200. McIntyre is going on to take a position how one might be able to come to the assertions reached by means of PAGES2k and by means of the brand new hockey-stick showing within the Abstract for Policymakers in AR6. McIntyre then concludes:
“A significant reason why for having a look on the underlying information in proxy reconstructions, except being sound statistical observe typically, is that, (1) by means of definition, a temperature proxy is meant to be linearly associated with temperature; and due to this fact (2) proxies in a community of tangible temperature proxies, in step with the definition, will have to (a) have a slightly constant look; and (b) seem like the reconstruction. This clearly doesn’t happen within the PAGES2019 Zero-20N community.
“Secondly, proxies overlaying the medieval length and previous are disturbingly sparse within the PAGES2019 Zero-30N community. Even though such sequence have develop into a lot more broadly to be had previously 15 years or so, PAGES 2019 Zero-30N accommodates just one (!) proxy with values previous to AD925. Certainly, it in truth decreased the illustration of longer (ocean core, speleothem, lake sediment) proxies from Mann et al 2008 and PAGES2017, whilst dramatically expanding the proportional illustration of very brief coral proxies. Insanity.
“After all, the community is wildly inhomogeneous over the years. Prior to now two centuries, it’s ruled by means of trending coral proxies, with only some nondescript or declining lengthy proxies. Any type of regression (or like multivariate manner) of trending temperatures towards a big community within the instrumental length will yield a nearly completely becoming reconstruction within the calibration length if the community is big sufficient. But if the community is restricted to the few lengthy proxies (and particularly the singleton proxy extending to the primary century), the have compatibility of the regression (or multivariate manner) will likely be very deficient and the predictive price of any reconstruction negligible. [Boldface added]
“Briffa rightly sneered at Mann’s hyperventilating claims in admire to the few uninformative tropical (Zero-30N) proxies within the Mann et al 1998-99 community. The similar grievance applies to the PAGES 2019 Zero-30N community.”
See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy, Protecting the Orthodoxy, and https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/percent/articles/PMC2527990/#B10
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Claims Are No longer Bodily Proof: As McIntyre has proven, the brand new hockey-stick featured within the IPCC Abstract for Policymakers of AR6 has no predictive price. McIntyre has lined the crucial tropics the place important warming is said to happen, and 30° to 60° South Latitude, which is set 96% ocean. That is the place Jim Hansen, right through the former pause, claimed international warming was once hiding. But the UN and its fans are enforcing a complete propaganda marketing campaign to frighten the general public.
The Straits Instances experiences:
“A failure to slash international emissions is environment the arena on a ‘catastrophic’ trail to two.7 levels Celsius heating, UN leader Antonio Guterres warned on Friday (Sept 17) simply weeks earlier than crunch weather talks.
“His feedback come as a United International locations record on international emissions pledges discovered as an alternative of the discounts had to steer clear of the worst results of weather substitute, they might see ‘a substantial build up’.
“This displays ‘the arena is on a catastrophic pathway to two.7-degrees of heating,’ Guterres mentioned in a commentary.”
The FAO (Meals and Agriculture Group of the UN), FIAD (Sustainable Funding Fund), UNICEF (the United International locations Kids’s Fund), WFP (International Meals Program), and WHO (International Well being Group) issued a record claiming the arena should turn into “meals programs for meals safety, progressed diet and inexpensive wholesome diets for all.” The International Financial institution has warned that weather substitute may reason migration of 216 million humans. In line with experiences, UN Secretary Basic Antonio Guterres has demanded motion on bad weather substitute:
“Guterres has laid out 3 weather priorities. First, the UN is looking nations to support their commitments to achieve web 0 emissions by means of 2050 below the 2015 Paris settlement.
“2nd, it desires evolved nations to meet a promise to lift a $100-billion weather motion fund.
“3rd, it desires a ‘important step forward’ on financing for adaptation tasks for hard-hit international locations, to give protection to them towards occasions comparable to droughts, floods and sea-level upward push. The UN desires adaptation finance to account for 50 % of all weather finance.”
But in step with a 2019 record by means of Our International in Information, we don’t seem to be residing in a weather emergency however, previous to COVID, essentially the most wealthy time in international historical past. In 1990 about 1.nine billion (36% of the arena’s inhabitants) had been residing in severe poverty, in 2015 730 million (nine.nine% of the arena’s inhabitants) had been. Many of the cave in in severe poverty befell within the Some distance East with heavy expansion in use of fossil fuels. This use of fossil fuels has benefited crops across the earth with an international greening, ceaselessly flawed as a warming.
The false claims by means of the UN and its fans recommended the query: What planet are they on? Except the UN and its fans can produce compelling bodily proof of bad international warming, China, India, and different nations within the Some distance East will proceed to grin with politeness and forget about the fools from the West. See hyperlinks below Protecting the Orthodoxy, After Paris! Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up, Go back of King Coal? and https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty
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Pogo-Stick Energy: Nature performed one in every of her tips once more, she close off wind generators in Britain resulting in skyrocketing electrical energy costs. Since climate programs can lengthen some 1500 miles (2500 km) nature can cut-off climate dependent persistent over extensive spaces. Those that recommend inexperienced calories fail to comprehend how fragile it’s. After presenting an ordinary article by means of reporter Matthew Lynn, Paul Homewood states some real looking ideas:
“Matthew Lynn is mistaken on one level, when he says:
“’We wish to recognise that whilst transitioning to inexperienced calories could also be superb within the medium-term, we’re going to want plenty of back-up whilst that occurs’
“Actually the extra renewable persistent that will get added, the fewer dependable the machine will develop into and the extra again up will likely be important.
“And it’s no longer transparent the place he thinks this new again up will miraculously seem from. On the very minimal, he will have to be not easy:
• A right away suspension of coal persistent plant closures, if important aided by means of subsidies.
• A right away suspension until additional understand of CfD [the Contracts for Difference] auctions. If wind farm operators need to construct new farms, allow them to accomplish that with out assured subsidies
• A ‘intermittency surcharge’ to be imposed on wind and solar energy, in order that they pay the price of offering standby persistent
• A rule insisting that every one new wind and photo voltaic flowers come with enough garage to provide nameplate capability for, say, one week
• Abolition of carbon pricing, which has distorted marketplace mechanisms, and is in large part accountable in Europe for the large upward push in calories costs this yr.
• Rapid suspension of strikes to electrical automobiles and warmth pumps
• Forsaking strategic plans which depend closely on imported persistent, and alternative with plans which prioritise the supply of enough, dependable home-grown persistent.
“Those issues were build up for years. Mr Lynn’s fiddling round on the edges will make little distinction.”
TWTW would upload that just because authorities has instituted a coverage does no longer imply that it has engaged in crucial considering.
In some other article at the Nationwide Grid, UK’s electrical energy transmission community which transfers calories between Nice Britain and Eire, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Norway, Homewood writes:
“The Nationwide Grid’s Long run Power Situations are founded round as much as 25 GW of interconnector capability, which quantities to enjoying Russian Roulette with our calories safety. As now we have observed this month, after we are in need of wind persistent, the remainder of Northern Europe has a tendency to be as properly.
“What promises are there then that France, say, will permit its persistent to be exported after they themselves are in need of it. Certainly, final week Eire close down the Moyle interconnector to Britain, constructed to export surplus Irish wind persistent. The rationale? They too had been in need of electrical energy!
“To cap all of it, a fireplace has simply taken out the two GW interconnector between Britain and France, and it’s anticipated to be out of motion until subsequent March.
“Russian Roulette with an absolutely loaded pistol could be a greater description!”
After reviewing the erratic persistent era from wind as reported by means of the Bonneville Energy Management, TWTW provides that 100% back-up or garage for per week isn’t enough for wind persistent. An explanation of thought will require that the back-up or garage may also be replenished in a well timed model. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy, Wondering Eu Inexperienced, Pogo-stick Energy, Europe, Difficult and Eu Inexperienced, Power Problems – Non-US, Power Problems – Non-US, and Power Problems – US and Article # 1.
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Use Scorching Water To Make Ice? In addressing the perception that warming of the Arctic brought about the Blue Norther to freeze portions of Texas final February, Patrick Michaels mentions the rustic fable that one could make ice cubes quicker by means of the usage of scorching water than by means of the usage of chilly water. [According to an article in the American Journal of Physics years ago, this may work on ice forming in wooden water buckets with equal amounts of water when placed outside. Particularly if the air is dry, rapid evaporation of hot water reduces the amount of water to be frozen and the wood insulates both the hot and cold water.] See hyperlinks below Protecting the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.
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Wait Till Subsequent 12 months! Within the Northern Hemisphere, the Fall Solstice will happen this week and the Arctic ice has no longer but melted. Additional, polar bears are nonetheless round. So, we should wait till subsequent yr for the expected melting of the Arctic sea ice and the dying of the polar endure. See hyperlinks below Converting Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
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14th ICCC: The 14th Global Convention on Local weather Trade offered by means of The Heartland Institute will likely be October 15 to 17, 2021, at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/
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Selection of the Week: 68.three%. The realm from 30° North Latitude to 30° South Latitude covers 50% of the earth’s floor, and the realm from 30° South to 60° South Latitude covers 18.three% of the earth’s floor. In his research of information relating PAGES2k, Steve McIntyre has lined 68.three% of the earth’s floor and located no 2000-year hockey-stick. The Abstract for Policymakers of AR6 belongs in the similar round document because the 2nd Evaluate File, 1995, with its fabled “scorching spot” over the tropics and the 3rd Evaluate File, 2001, with its fabled “hockey-stick.” See hyperlink below Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://duties.illustrativemathematics.org/content-standards/duties/1114
Censorship
Fb Says Its Regulations Practice to All. Corporate Paperwork Expose a Secret Elite That’s Exempt.
A program referred to as XCheck has given hundreds of thousands of celebrities, politicians and different high-profile customers particular remedy, a privilege many abuse
By means of Jeff Horwitz, WSJ, Sep 13, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/facebook-files-xcheck-zuckerberg-elite-rules-11631541353?mod=hp_lead_pos7
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Trade Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Trade (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Trade Reconsidered II: Organic Affects
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Trade (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Trade Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By means of More than one Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Trade, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain and not using a price:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC File at the Clinical Consensus
By means of Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Global Panel on Local weather Trade (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain and not using a price:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, No longer Human Task, Regulations the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Stage Upward thrust: An Analysis of the Information
By means of Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Would possibly 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
PAGES 2019: Zero-30N Proxies
By means of Stephen McIntyre, Local weather Audit, Sep 15, 2021
Power costs in Europe hit data after the wind stops blowing
By means of Body of workers, WSJ, By way of GWPF, Sep 14, 2021
We can’t manage to pay for to forestall and get started society relying on whether or not or no longer the wind may well blow
By means of Rob Lyons, RT, Sep 16, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.rt.com/op-ed/535021-eu-dependence-renewables-wind-solar-power/
[SEPP Comment: By publishing the article, Russian State-owned RIA Novosti news agency displays more critical thinking about electricity than the New York Times has displayed in years.]
Provoking the apple cart IX: Koonin on Plan(s) B
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
Proceeding College of Guelph professor Ross McKitrick’s take a look at Steven E. Koonin’s landmark e book Unsettled: What Local weather Science Tells Us, What it Doesn’t, and Why it Issues.
Unsure Clouds
By means of Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Sep 17, 2021
Get waiting for the left’s climate-change ‘emergency’ lockdowns
By means of David Harsanyi, New York Publish, Sep 12, 2021
https://nypost.com/2021/09/12/get-ready-for-climate-change-emergency-lockdowns/
Nonetheless looking ahead to two thirds of polar bears international to vanish because of loss of summer time sea ice
By means of Susan Crockford, Polar Undergo Science, Sep 15, 2021
IPCC, AR6, 2021: Abstract for Policymakers
In: Local weather Trade 2021: The Bodily Science Foundation. Contribution of Running Crew I to the 6th Evaluate File of the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Trade
By means of Masson-Delmotte, V., P, et al. Cambridge College Press. In Press.
Hyperlink to Technical Improve File
International on ‘catastrophic’ trail to two.7 levels Celsius warming: UN leader
By means of Body of workers, The Straits Instances, Sep 18, 2021
https://www.straitstimes.com/international/countries-emissions-pledges-still-fall-short-of-global-climate-goals-un-says
UN requires ‘repurposing’ farm subsidies harming surroundings
By means of AFP Body of workers Writers, Paris (AFP), Sept 14, 2021
https://www.seeddaily.com/experiences/UN_calls_for_repurposing_farm_subsidies_harming_environment_999.html
Hyperlink to press liberate: The State of Meals Safety and Vitamin within the International 2021
Reworking meals programs for meals safety, progressed diet and inexpensive wholesome diets for all
By means of Body of workers: FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO, 2021
http://www.fao.org/paperwork/card/en/c/cb4474en
Western US faces long run of extended drought even with stringent emissions keep an eye on
By means of Body of workers Writers, Washington DC (SPX) Sep 09, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Western_US_faces_future_of_prolonged_drought_even_with_stringent_emissions_control_999.html
Hyperlink to paper by means of NASA, and so forth: Uncertainties, Limits, and Advantages of Local weather Trade Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North The usa
By means of B. I. Cook dinner, Earth’s Long run, 2021
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2021EF002014
[SEPP Comment: Soil Moisture reconstructed back to the year 800?]
Protecting the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Doubtful weather science concerning the Texas chilly crisis
By means of Patrick Michael, Local weather And so on. Sep 14, 2021
Hyperlink to extremely questionable paper: Linking Arctic variability and alter with severe wintry weather climate in the US
By means of Judah Cohen, AAAS Science, Sep three, 2021
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi9167
Texas Primer: The Blue Norther
Greetings from the Arctic.
By means of Jan Reid, Texas Per 30 days, November 1982
https://www.texasmonthly.com/being-texan/texas-primer-the-blue-norther/
See hyperlink instantly above
Warming Reasons Cooling, Says Local weather Scientist
By means of Jeffrey Other people, American Philosopher, Sep 17, 2021
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/09/warming_causes_cooling_says_climate_scientist.html
See above three hyperlinks
Local weather substitute anticipated to accentuate summertime droughts throughout Europe
By means of Brooks Hays, Washington DC (UPI), Sep 7, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Climate_change_expected_to_intensify_summertime_droughts_across_Europe_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Unless it causes flooding as claimed it did this year in Germany.]
Wondering the Orthodoxy
An Eerie Caution from Hans Morgenthau
By means of Francis P. Sempa, American Philosopher, Sep 15, 2021
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/09/an_eerie_warning_from_hans_morgenthau.html
Newest information on reasonable offshore wind
By means of Andrew Montford, GWPF, Sep 15, 2021
“With a capital price of £three.Eight billion, and a potential load consider its first yr of possibly 47% (i.e. the similar as Beatrice, the windfarm subsequent door), we would possibly confidently be expecting Moray East to have a levelised price of £130, which is just about conventional of latest offshore gadgets.”
Freezing Deficient Other folks For Christmas
By means of Tony Heller, His Weblog, Sep 16, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/09/freezing-poor-people-for-christmas/
“Fossil Fuels are a strategic asset” say humans looking at UK and EU best possible fuel typhoon
By means of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Sep 18, 2021
International leaders will keep closed-door weather meet at UN
By means of AFP Body of workers Writers, United International locations, United States (AFP), Sept 15, 2021
https://www.terradaily.com/experiences/World_leaders_will_hold_closed-door_climate_meet_at_UN_999.html
Leaders of China, India, and different main economies skip out on Biden’s recent weather discussion board
By means of Christian Datoc, Washington Examiner, Sep 17, 2021
https://information.yahoo.com/leaders-china-india-other-major-145800044.html
Biden mentioned: “There’s an actual consensus, an actual consensus that whilst the weather disaster poses an existential risk, there’s a silver lining the weather disaster additionally items actual and implausible financial alternatives to create jobs, elevate up the usual of residing for humans around the globe,” he mentioned. “We all know there’s nonetheless numerous paintings to do, and if the rest, our task, in my opinion, is rising extra pressing.”
UN weather summit susceptible to failure, UN GenSec warns
By means of Body of workers, GWPF, Sep 17, 2021
Trade in US Administrations
U.S. to battle to satisfy Biden’s persistent grid weather target -Woodmac
By means of Timothy Gardner, Reuters, Sep 16, 2021
https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/sustainable-business/us-struggle-meet-bidens-power-grid-climate-goal-woodmac-2021-09-16/
Hyperlink to Wooden Mackenzie record failed
[SEPP Comment: The US economy met the Trump Administration’s goal of energy independence.]
AP Truth Test reveals Biden made exaggerated claims on jobs, gas
By means of Rachel Scully, The Hill, Sep 17, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/572788-ap-fact-check-finds-biden-made-exaggerated-claims-on-jobs-gasoline
Biden : Ten Years Left For The Planet
By means of Tony Heller, His Weblog, Sep 16, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/09/biden-ten-years-left-for-the-planet/
Biden confirms 30 % international methane discount target, urges ‘very best imaginable ambitions’
By means of Zack Budryk, The Hill, Sep 17, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/572719-biden-confirms-30-global-methane-reduction-goal-urges-highest
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Southern Hemisphere’s ozone gap now larger than Antarctica
By means of Olafimihan Oshin, The Hill, Sep 16, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/572564-southern-hemispheres-ozone-hole-larger-than-normal-scientists-say
[SEPP Comment: The Montreal Protocol accomplished nothing?]
Can’t COP
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
“After Britain’s ‘weather envoy’ Alok Sharma (great paintings if you’ll get it, together with the expense account) and US ‘weather envoy’ John Kerry (ditto) got here to China to kowtow, the federal government/Communist Birthday party International Instances warned the United Kingdom that it should no longer ‘permit Washington to hijack the summit for its sick geopolitical intentions’ and added that China would ‘keep on with its personal tempo’ on emissions.”
AP: “UN: Local weather pledges put international on ‘catastrophic pathway’
By means of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Sep 17, 2021
Norway to carry agency on oil, fuel, calories transition below new authorities
By means of Nick Coleman, S&P International, Sep 14, 2021
https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/energy-transition/091421-norway-to-hold-firm-on-oil-gas-energy-transition-under-new-government
In search of a Commonplace Flooring
The Malden Wildfire and Local weather Trade: Why are Primary Media and Politicians Distorting the Reality?
If the country and international are going to maintain weather substitute, it is very important that the general public is given correct data.
By means of Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Sep 12, 2021
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/seek?updated-max=2021-09-14T00:30:00-07:00&max-results=2&get started=2&by-date=false
Converting Climate
IPCC AR6: Tropical cyclones, unspun version
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
A Doable Intense Function Transferring Via This night. My New Podcast. And Why are Northwest Summers so Dry.
A doubtlessly VERY intense frontal characteristic will transfer thru western Washington this night, one that might produce intense rainfall and localized city flooding.
By means of Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Sep 17, 2021
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/09/a-potential-intense-feature-moving.html
Converting Local weather
New Learn about: Top Arctic Canada’s Early Holocene Iciness Air Temperatures Have been ‘6-Eight°C Hotter Than These days’
By means of Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Sep 16, 2021
Hyperlink to recent paper: Holocene ice wedge formation within the Eureka Sound Lowlands, excessive Arctic Canada
By means of Kethra Campbell-Heaton, et al. Cambridge College Press, Feb 23, 2021
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/quaternary-research/article/abs/holocene-ice-wedge-formation-in-the-eureka-sound-lowlands-high-arctic-canada/2321E4BCDD38D5B4271EAD83A73E80D4
Converting Seas
Local weather ate my citadel
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
“The closest tide gauge is at Portsmouth and it displays a long run build up of one.84 mm in step with yr, which is solely over 7 inches in step with century, no longer even with regards to 36 inches. And the ocean point upward push all however resulted in 1980 and not using a visual pattern over the last 40 years. The development on a sandbar was once undermined by means of the elimination of its seashore by means of human motion no longer weather substitute.”
Converting Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Arctic Ice Abounds at 2021 Minimal
By means of Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Sep 18, 2021
Arctic Sea Ice: Lengthy-term decline held again
By means of David Whitehouse, GWPF, Sep 17, 2021
Fact Jolt: Arctic September Minimal Sea Ice Extent Development RISING Over Previous 10 Years – Norwegian Information
By means of P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Sep 12, 2021
Scientists In finding “Sudden” And “Statistically Vital” Cooling Development Over Whole Continental Antarctica
By means of P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Sep 17, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: An Evaluate of ERA5 Reanalysis for Antarctic Close to-Floor Air Temperature
By means of Jiangping Zhu, et al. Surroundings, Feb five, 2021
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/2/217/htm
Converting Earth
New Learn about: No Development In Compound Herbal Failures Throughout Australia Since 1966
By means of Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Sep 13, 2021
Reducing Requirements
Economics By means of “The Economist “
By means of Tony Heller, His Weblog, Sep 16, 2021
https://realclimatescience.com/2021/09/economics-by-the-economist/
The weather scaremongers: A weekly round-up
By means of Paul Homewood, The Conservative Lady, Sep 17, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
NYT: “Do We Want to Shrink the Financial system to Forestall Local weather Trade?”
By means of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Sep 17, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Local weather substitute may spark migration of 216M humans: International Financial institution
By means of Monique Beals, The Hill, Sep 13, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/571975-climate-change-could-affect-migration-of-millions-world-bank-says
Hyperlink to record: Groundswell Phase 2: Performing on Inside Local weather Migration
By means of Body of workers, International Financial institution Crew, 2021
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/maintain/10986/36248
Talking of math
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
“Then there’s the entire factor of the way ceaselessly even ‘peer reviewed’ examine is according to numbers so unhealthy former editor of the British Scientific Magazine simply declared that ‘It can be time to transport from assuming that examine has been in truth carried out and reported to assuming it to be untrustworthy till there’s some proof on the contrary’. However, when your margin of uncertainty is an element of 9, method larger than your outcome, what does it topic if the information may be garbage?”
BBC’s Pretend Local weather Test On Hurricanes
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 12, 2021
BBC’s 50C Days Garbage
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 14, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Kids
Modifying Science Textbooks for Desired Public Opinion
By means of Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Sep 15, 2021
Europe’s Fossil Gasoline Scarcity
By means of Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Sep 17, 2021
Europe’s Web 0 time table hits domestic – with eye-watering calories expenses
By means of Sophie Mellor, Fortune, By way of GWPF, Sep 11, 2021
Britain can’t depend on France and Eire to stay the lighting on
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 11, 2021
“It’s a pity the media didn’t get up to those issues years in the past, when the insurance policies main to the present mess had been set in movement:”
Wondering Inexperienced In other places
When inexperienced economics isn’t
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
“The Instances tale claimed that ‘The Biden management on Wednesday launched a blueprint appearing how the country may transfer towards generating virtually part of its electrical energy from the solar by means of 2050 — a doubtlessly giant step towards preventing weather substitute however one who will require huge upgrades to the electrical grid.’ However block that metaphor, as a result of with out main points it’s no longer a ‘blueprint’. It’s a fable.”
Inexperienced Jobs
Britain is popping into the Venezuela of wind as inexperienced jobs are exported to Asia
By means of GWPF, and BBC, Sep 11, 2021
“There’s no jobs revolution – it’s a fable.”
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
Europe’s Power Crunch Is Forcing U.Ok. Factories to Close Down
By means of Elizabeth Elkin and Isis Almeida, Bloomberg, Sep 16,
https://www.bloomberg.com/information/articles/2021-09-15/soaring-european-gas-prices-force-fertilizer-plants-to-shutter?sref=2eap69Y7
Investment Problems
GWPF provides proof to the Area of Lords inquiry into the Prices of Web 0
Press Unlock, GWPF, Sep 14, 2021
The Political Video games Proceed
Local weather Chaos Is Right here, Say TUC!
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 13, 2021
“‘Covid isn’t going to be a one-off,’ the union federation’s [TUC] common secretary, Frances O’Grady, will inform its annual congress in a while Monday.
‘Local weather chaos is right here already and the longer we dispose of attending to web 0, the extra disruptive it’ll be,’ she is going to upload.”
Litigation Problems
Wind Turbine Belongings Price Proof Rejected in Aussie Courtroom Case
By means of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Sep 16, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Evidence is not expert opinion? On what do experts base their opinions? The judge cannot judge evidence?]
GWPF warns ministers no longer to attract the mistaken courses from Europe’s calories disaster
Press Unlock, GWPF, Sep nine, 2021
Energy Markets In Disaster
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 17, 2021
Power Problems – Australia
Renewable bandaid burns cash: New transmission line by myself prices up to new complex Coal Plant
By means of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Sep 13, 2021
By means of Body of workers, BPA.Gov/transmission
BPA Balancing Authority General Wind Era, Close to-Actual-Time
https://transmission.bpa.gov/Trade/Operations/Wind/twndbspt.aspx
BPA Balancing Authority Load and General Wind, Hydro, Fossil/Biomass, and Nuclear Era, Close to-Actual-Time
https://transmission.bpa.gov/Trade/Operations/Wind/baltwg.aspx
Washington’s Keep watch over of Power
The usa’s Useful resource Abundance
By means of Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Sep 14, 2021
Oil and Herbal Fuel – the Long run or the Previous?
Los Angeles County supervisors vote to finish oil, fuel drilling
By means of Zack Budryk, The Hill, Sep 16, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/572578-la-county-supervisors-vote-to-end-oil-gas-drilling
If CO2 mattered, the UN would favor Australian coal
By means of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Sep 11, 2021
[SEPP Comment: According to the EIA Graph China produces about one-half of the world’s coal. According to Statista, Indonesia is the largest exporter, Australia the second largest.]
China and India ship coal costs hovering amid green-energy push
Squeeze pushed by means of temporary provide disruption and loss of long-term funding
By means of Rurika Imahashi, Nikkei Asia, Sep 13, 2021 [H/t GWPF]
https://asia.nikkei.com/Highlight/Marketplace-Highlight/China-and-India-send-coal-prices-soaring-amid-green-energy-push
Nuclear Power and Fears
Primary coverage turn from Australia: out with French diesel subs and in with “nuclear ones”!?
Subsequent factor you recognize we would possibly get one nuclear persistent plant?
By means of Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Sep 16, 2021
Choice, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Sun and Wind
Nature: Wind Turbine Noise Problems
By means of Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Sep 14, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Results of low-frequency noise from wind generators on center charge variability in wholesome people
By means of Chun-Hsiang Chiu, et al. Nature, Clinical Studies, Sep Eight, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-97107-Eight
Wind Noise: A Proceeding Factor (evening amplification)
By means of Sherri Lange, Grasp Useful resource, Sep 13, 2021
“Environmentalists In opposition to Wind Generators” (global reporting)
By means of Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Sep 15, 2021
Why Offshore Wind Faces Court cases
By means of David T. Stevenson, Actual Transparent Power, Sep 15, 2021
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/15/why_offshore_wind_faces_lawsuits_794583.html
Choice, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Cars
GM Warns Chevy Bolt Homeowners To not Park Inside of 50toes of The rest You Care About
By means of Eric Worrall, WUWT, Sep 15, 2021
E-car chargers will flip off to forestall blackouts
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 13, 2021
California Dreaming
California grid limits may well get worse inequitable entry to solar power: find out about
By means of Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Sep 13, 2021
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/571978-california-grid-limits-may-worsen-inequitable-access-to-solar
Hyperlink to paper: Inequitable entry to disbursed calories assets because of grid infrastructure limits in California
By means of Anna M. Brockway, et al. Naure, Sep 13, 2021
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00887-6
[SEPP Comment: The poor may not be able to get expensive, unreliable solar power?]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Local weather substitute preventing infantrymen from coaching, warns army’s inexperienced tsar
By means of Paul Homewood, No longer a Lot of Other folks Know That, Sep 17, 2021
“The army’s inexperienced tsar has mentioned weather substitute is preventing infantrymen from workout routines as it’s more and more ‘too scorching to coach’.”
[SEPP Comment: What would Churchill have said if one of the British Generals claimed that the Army could not fight Rommel in North Africa because it was too hot?]
Meals for the worms
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
The writer, with a BA in Journalism from Concordia with a minor in Girls’s Research, informs us that the three-century-long creep of non-native earthworms thru North The usa is liberating fatal clouds of CO2. “Even though they’re generally perceived as pleasant helpers within the lawn, in different places, they are able to be a shockingly harmful drive.” As soon as once more, if worms can smash the planet, it wasn’t going to make it anyway.
What giant ears you may have
By means of John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Sep 15, 2021
[SEPP Comment: More on a questionable study in Cell.]
ARTICLES
1. Europe’s Local weather Lesson for The usa
As wind persistent flags, calories costs are hovering amid gas shortages.
By means of The Editorial Board, WSJ, Sept. 14, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/europe-climate-lesson-for-america-energy-prices-fuel-wind-11631655375?mod=hp_opin_pos_4#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: The editorial starts:
“Power costs are hovering in Europe, and the consequences are rippling around the Atlantic. Blame anti-carbon insurance policies of the sort that the Biden Management desires to impose within the U.S.
“Electrical energy costs within the U.Ok. this week jumped to a report £354 ($490) in step with megawatt hour, a 700% build up from the 2010 to 2020 reasonable. Germany’s electrical energy benchmark has doubled this yr. Closing month’s 12.three% build up was once the biggest since 1974 and contributed to the very best inflation studying since 1993. Different economies are experiencing equivalent spikes.
“Europe’s anti-carbon insurance policies have created a fossil-fuel scarcity. Governments have closely backed renewables like wind and photo voltaic and close down coal flowers to satisfy their commitments below the Paris weather accord. However wind persistent this summer time has flagged, so nations are scrambling to import extra fossil fuels to persistent their grids.
“Eu natural-gas spot costs have larger five-fold within the final yr. Some calories suppliers are burning less expensive coal, however its costs have tripled. Emerging fossil-fuel intake has brought about call for and costs for carbon lets in below the Continent’s cap-and-trade scheme to surge, which has driven electrical energy costs even upper.
“Russia has exploited the chaos by means of slowing fuel deliveries, ostensibly to extend force on Germany to complete the Nord Circulate 2 pipeline certification. Vladimir Putin final week took a swipe on the ‘sensible alecs’ within the Eu Fee for ‘market-based’ pricing that larger festival in fuel, together with from U.S. liquefied pure fuel imports.
“Mr. Putin can throw his weight round in Europe as a result of the remainder of the arena additionally wishes his fuel. Drought has decreased hydropower in Asia, and producers are the usage of extra calories to provide the West with extra items. Because of a fuel and coal scarcity, China has rationed persistent to its aluminum smelters and aluminum costs this week hit a 13-year excessive.
“The U.S. is the arena’s greatest fuel manufacturer, nevertheless it isn’t immune from turmoil in calories markets. Herbal fuel spot costs within the U.S. have doubled over the last yr partly as a result of manufacturers have larger exports to Europe and Asia. Exports are up greater than 40% right through the primary six months this yr over final.
“This underscores how fossil fuels are a U.S. financial and strategic asset. The Biden Management’s plan to curtail oil, fuel and coal manufacturing by means of legislation would empower adversaries, particularly Russia, Iran and China, which can be the arena’s 3 greatest fuel manufacturers after the U.S.”
After a dialogue of accelerating electrical energy and application fuel costs to customers the thing concludes:
“Europe is appearing the folly of seeking to purge CO2 from the economic system. Regardless of how closely backed, renewables can’t exchange fossil fuels in a contemporary economic system. Families and companies get caught with upper calories expenses whilst CO2 emissions build up. Europe’s issues are a caution to the U.S., if best Democrats would heed it.”
***************
Joe Biden’s Presidency Is Unbelievable—No, In reality
The dissembling and self-contradictions are many, however the press by no means sees have compatibility to name them out as lies.
By means of Gerard Baker, WSJ, Sept. 13, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-biden-trust-approval-afghanistan-covid-19-vaccine-mandate-mainstream-media-11631548431?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
TWTW Abstract: In a plea for readability and balanced reporting, the columnist writes:
“Say what you’re going to, it will have to be obtrusive by means of now to any fair-minded observer that Joe Biden is an improbable president. Completely improbable.
“Given what could be with politeness termed as fresh hostile tendencies, this may increasingly come as a marvel to a couple readers, so let me explain: I don’t imply ‘implausible’ within the sense the phrase has come for use within the fashionable argot of our abruptly devaluing language. Like ‘superior,’ which, rising up I best ever heard used within the context of the deity however which is now most often deployed to explain a slice of pizza or a haircut, ‘implausible’ has been matter to important linguistic distortion.
“It’s fun to listen to some journalist of impressively extensive vanity however plainly narrower vocabulary heap reward on a tale by means of describing it as ‘implausible’—even though the word ‘that is some implausible reporting from CNN,’ which I’ve once in a while observed tweeted, has a satisfactorily, if by accident, faultless high quality to it.
“So, in a almost definitely futile bid to go back English phrases to their precise that means, I will have to shed light on that what makes Joe Biden an improbable president is that you’ll’t consider a phrase he says.
“Take into account that vaccine that Kamala Harris mentioned a yr in the past she almost definitely wouldn’t take as a result of Donald Trump was once chargeable for it? Neatly, now she and her boss say we’ve all were given to take it or else the government could have us fired from our jobs. This adopted a declaration at the vaccine by means of Mr. Biden, in a while earlier than taking place of job, that he wouldn’t ‘call for that it’s obligatory.’
“Two months in the past, we had been ‘nearer than ever to mentioning independence from the virus’ however final week we had been warned that defeating the virus would ‘take numerous not easy paintings and it’s going to take a while.’
Now, issues substitute, it’s true. We’ve all needed to revise and amend remarks in gentle of uncomfortable new details. However this management’s capability for self-contradiction has reached epidemic ranges.
“Take that fairly menacing speech on vaccine mandates final week. Even inside the span of a couple of mins Mr. Biden controlled a baffling inconsistency. One second he confident us that if we had been vaccinated we had an infinitesimal likelihood of having unwell sufficient to wish hospitalization. However the following second he mentioned the unvaccinated had been threatening the well being of the ones people who’re vaccinated.
“What makes this Covid credibility downside extra outstanding is that Mr. Biden plainly idea it might be useful for his credibility to modify the topic from a subject matter on which it had already been shredded—Afghanistan.
“You’ll recall the nightly contentions from the White Area podium in that final chaotic week of the U.S. withdrawal from Kabul. The allies had been completely proud of it. No American citizens could be left at the back of. The Taliban had been going to be useful companions.
“The president turns out to have settled on a technique of rotating per thirty days thru a unique set of falsehoods. Afghanistan in August. Covid in September. Subsequent month: How I’ve succeeded in protecting immigration below keep an eye on. By means of Thanksgiving, inflation will certainly nonetheless be transitory.
“Now it’s essential to mention right here that the previous few years haven’t precisely been a golden age for presidential credibility. Mr. Biden’s predecessor set the bar for authoritative misdirection extraordinarily excessive.
“However you’ll recall that President Trump’s whoppers had been, within the somber reporting of the time, forged as an existential risk to the very material of American democracy. Information articles would record one thing he’d mentioned as both an outright lie or with the censorious explanation that his phrases had been ‘false’ or ‘with out proof.’ (I earned infamy a couple of years again as editor of the inside track pages of this newspaper for insisting that reporting one thing hopefully as a ‘lie’ required a degree of information about an individual’s thoughts that we almost definitely didn’t have.)
“I don’t see information organizations reporting that President Biden has ‘falsely’ mentioned that there were no lawsuits from U.S. allies, or that he has mentioned ‘with out proof’ that Covid was once at the wane. Republicans lie. Democrats simply misspeak.
“His credibility downside isn’t merely sapping Mr Biden’s ballot numbers and even his skill to advance his political time table. It’s additional eroding believe in authorities, undermining The usa’s tattered popularity on the planet and making it immeasurably more difficult for authority—now and someday—to handle the type of believe that is very important to the functioning of a loose society.
“Amongst The usa’s maximum essential allies there is not any longer any believe that Mr. Biden may also be trusted as a major spouse. They’re now making their very own plans. At domestic, persons are so bewildered and indignant concerning the unending inconsistencies on mask, lockdowns and vaccines that lots of them have merely stopped paying consideration.
“It’s no longer the primary, to make sure, no longer by means of a protracted shot. However what an amazing—implausible—presidency.”
***************
three. Notable & Quotable: Miraculous Economics
‘An strange lead pencil is the results of the non violent cooperation of 1000’s upon 1000’s of people who won’t ever meet.’
By means of Roger Beam, WSJ, Sept. 16, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/adam-smith-invisible-hand-american-studies-economics-11631820986?mod=hp_opin_pos_6#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: After receiving the 2021 Bradley Prize, the president of the Fund for American Research states
“Taught correctly, economics supplies a lens to know the best way the arena works. It’s about how people have interaction and make alternatives, and the way an undirected marketplace procedure unleashes the forces of invention, innovation, creativeness, and growth. The outcome is little short of miraculous.
“We ignite a spark within the minds of scholars after we display them how Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand motivates a self-interested person to ‘advertise an finish which was once no a part of his purpose’ and thereby serve the desires of others. This apparently easy thought explains why there was once any person at your community espresso store early this morning waiting to serve you scorching espresso, why a pilot spent years in coaching to fly you safely to Washington for this rite, and the way one thing so simple as an strange lead pencil is the results of the non violent cooperation of 1000’s upon 1000’s of people who won’t ever meet.”
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