The Week That Was once: 2019-12-28 (December 28, 2019)
Delivered to You by way of SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Mission
“I will have to like to mention two issues, one highbrow and one ethical:
“The highbrow factor I will have to wish to say to them is that this: If you find yourself finding out any topic or taking into consideration any philosophy, ask your self best what are the info and what’s the fact that the info endure out. By no means let your self be diverted both by way of what you need to imagine or by way of what you assume would have beneficent social results if it had been believed, yet glance best and only at what are the info. That’s the highbrow factor that I will have to need to say.” – Bertrand Russell (1959)
Via Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Mission (SEPP)
The Worst of Instances or The Highest of Instances: Consistent with the United Countries, its supporting organizations, and plenty of different organizations engaged in what they imagine to be science, we’re in a weather disaster, or weather emergency. The cries of youngsters that adults have robbed them in their destiny are repeated on supposedly rational boards and publications. The long run is dire and we will have to replace our tactics or face extinction.
But by way of many goal requirements, this decade could be the most productive, maximum wealthy decade humanity skilled in recorded historical past. The diversities between what the UN and its supporters declare and what the information display are stark. Making the most of the “lull” in information that happens over the vacations, this TWTW and the following will provide information supporting the statement that we live in the most productive of occasions in trendy historical past with fewer climate linked deaths, in step with capita, emphasised herein and different information on agriculture, prosperity, conflict, and so on. emphasised subsequent week.
In his essay, “We’ve simply had the most productive decade in human historical past. Severely,” Matt Ridley discusses one of the most problems that might be introduced. However he does no longer talk about the explanations. Human creativeness can a great deal get advantages humanity. Sadly, it may be perverse as nicely.
Most likely the best present of humanity to humanity is the clinical way. Advanced over millennia in lots of cultures, it all started to achieve nice fruition in western Europe within the 16th and 17th centuries and was once followed by way of westernized international locations. The clinical way has been carried out to many industries and actions, elevating the factors of residing some distance past subsistence farming. Additionally, the process gave upward thrust to horrific guns. For years, the clinical way was once known as western science.
One of the vital preferrred lecturers of the clinical way in English was once the Nobel co-laureate in physics Richard Feynman. He informed tales to make crucial issues. One such tale was once of primitive Pacific Islanders watching the actions at a Global Conflict II touchdown strip and development identical amenities out of wooden and straw with hopes that airplanes would arrive bringing superb pieces. He referred to as this frame of mind Shipment-Cult Science. The trimmings and emblems of a science don’t make a science.
In a well-known lecture introduced on the 15th annual assembly of the Nationwide Science Lecturers Affiliation in 1966, Feynman gave his view of what science is. After a protracted creation with tales he states:
“This phenomenon of getting a reminiscence for the [human] race, of getting an accrued wisdom satisfactory from one technology to one other, was once new on the earth–nevertheless it had a illness in it: it was once imaginable to move on concepts that have been no longer successful for the race. The race has concepts, yet they aren’t essentially successful.
“So, there got here a time during which the guidelines, even though accrued very slowly, had been all accumulations no longer best of sensible and helpful issues, yet nice accumulations of all sorts of prejudices, and unusual and strange ideals.
“Then some way of warding off the illness was once found out. That is to doubt that what’s being handed from the previous is if truth be told true, and to check out to determine ab initio [from the beginning] back from enjoy what the location is, relatively than trusting the enjoy of the previous within the shape during which it’s handed down. And that’s what science is: the results of the invention that it’s profitable rechecking by way of new direct enjoy, and no longer essentially trusting the [human] race[’s] enjoy from the previous. I see it that approach. This is my preferrred definition.”[Remark: The primary [human], [from the beginning], and boldface had been added by way of TWTW.]
It’s the consistent want to recheck relatively than accept as true with previous ideals this is giving upward thrust to a perfect disparity between the UN science with its interpretation of the sector, and what many unbiased critics of UN science state is going on on the earth. The UN paintings is constructed on a science this is being out of date by way of observations during the last 40 years. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and In quest of a Not unusual Floor.
Contradicting a Local weather Disaster – Our Global in Information: As mentioned on its web site, the unbiased group Our Global in Information gifts information to deal with:
“Poverty, illness, starvation, weather replace, conflict, existential dangers, and inequality: The arena faces many nice and terrifying issues on the similar time. It’s those extensive issues that our paintings at Our Global in Information makes a speciality of.
“The arena has the sources to do significantly better. And because of the paintings of hundreds of researchers around the globe who devote their lives to finding out the sector’s greatest issues we incessantly have a just right figuring out of them. However we imagine key explanation why we fail to succeed in the growth we’re in a position to is that we don’t make sufficient use of this present analysis and knowledge: the essential wisdom is incessantly saved in inaccessible databases, locked away at the back of paywalls and buried underneath jargon in instructional papers.
“The function of our paintings is to make the information at the massive issues out there and comprehensible. As we are saying on our homepage, Our Global in Information is set Analysis and knowledge to make growth towards the sector’s greatest issues.”
The web site additionally offers its essential supporters to incorporate the Invoice and Melinda Gates Basis, German businesswoman Susanne Klatten, and the London-based Nuffield Basis (2015 & 16). A number of alternative sponsors and donors is indexed. In 2014, unbiased researchers Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser posted their in depth paintings on Herbal Failures web site of Our Global in Information. In November 2019 this paintings was once revised. The abstract states:
· Herbal mess ups kill on reasonable 60,000 folks in step with 12 months, globally.
· Globally, mess ups had been accountable for zero.1% of deaths during the last decade. This was once extremely variable, starting from zero.01% to zero.Four%.
· Deaths from pure mess ups have observed a big decline during the last century – from, in some years, tens of millions of deaths in step with 12 months to a median of 60,000 during the last decade.
· Traditionally, droughts and floods had been essentially the most deadly crisis occasions. Deaths from those occasions are actually very low – essentially the most fatal occasions nowadays have a tendency to be earthquakes.
· Failures impact the ones in poverty maximum closely: excessive loss of life tolls have a tendency to be targeted in low-to-middle source of revenue international locations with out the infrastructure to give protection to and reply to occasions.
Underneath the particular heading of Annual deaths from pure mess ups the authors state:
“Within the visualization proven right here we see the long-term international style in pure crisis deaths. This displays the estimated annual selection of deaths from mess ups from 1900 onwards from the EMDAT World Crisis Database.1
“What we see is that within the early-to-mid 20th century, the yearly loss of life toll from mess ups was once excessive, incessantly achieving over 1,000,000 in step with 12 months. In contemporary many years we’ve got observed a considerable decline in deaths. In maximum years fewer than 20,000 die (and in the latest decade, this has incessantly been not up to 10,000). Even in height years with high-impact occasions, the loss of life toll has no longer exceeded 500,000 because the mid-1960s.
“This decline is much more spectacular after we imagine the speed of inhabitants enlargement over this era. After we proper for inhabitants – appearing this knowledge with regards to loss of life charges (measured in step with 100,000 folks) – we see a fair better decline during the last century. This chart can also be considered right here. [Chart not shown in TWTW but shown on the website.]
“The yearly selection of deaths from pure mess ups may be to be had by way of nation since 1990. This can also be explored within the interactive map.”
Those findings at once contradict the claims of a weather disaster or weather emergency by way of the UN and its supporters. Very merely, regardless of will increase in inhabitants, loss of life tolls from pure mess ups aren’t expanding. Claims of human purpose are inappropriate. Dying tolls have fallen greatly, due to a variety of causes together with higher resilience which will end result from higher prosperity. The authors give a couple of units of information for america and the Globe for climate occasions equivalent to Flood, Wind, Warmth, Chilly, Climate occasions, and so on. The claims of the UN and its supporters don’t rise up to research.
Additional, the International Tropical Cyclone Process displays no building up in frequency and accrued calories all through its complete dataset from 1971 to November 30, 2019. The claims of weather disaster are false. See hyperlinks underneath In quest of a Not unusual Floor.
UN Fables Now not Info: The UN has created a parody, a mockery, of the clinical way by way of not easy exact values for imprecise ideas it has created and by way of substituting fables for info. The transparent factor is what’s going to occur to temperatures with a doubling of carbon dioxide? The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Alternate (IPCC) promotes the values within the 1979 Charney Document, asserted by way of US weather modelers with none supporting proof. The laboratory result of a modest warming within the vary of about 1 ºC (about 2 ºF) had been a great deal amplified by way of presumed will increase in essentially the most vital greenhouse fuel – water vapor. There was once no experimental or observational proof introduced to strengthen the declare – best speculative calculations that could be faulty.
With out addressing the core query, what’s going to occur if CO2 doubles, the UN IPCC makes a speciality of providing more than a few eventualities, storylines or fables, on what may possibly occur as international locations building up CO2 emissions. Thus, a lot of the dialogue is on which myth is much more likely to occur?
Feedbacks and equilibrium weather sensitivity and also are mishandled and assigned values which are speculative. There could also be a variety of certain or unfavourable feedbacks. However those want to be demonstrated by way of experiment on atmospheric gases or by way of atmospheric observations. They’ve no longer been convincingly demonstrated.
As mentioned in final week’s TWTW, in his new paper Richard Lindzen addressed the essential factor of the temperature distinction between the equator and the polar areas all through the final foremost ice age and the final foremost heat length. The temperatures within the tropics didn’t replace a lot from the chilly generation to the nice and cozy generation. Thus, we will have to no longer be expecting a powerful tropical “sizzling spot” all through the present warming. Observational proof of temperature developments display one isn’t happening, thus a powerful certain comments from water vapor isn’t happening. America fashions have no longer been adjusted to replicate the absence of a powerful certain comments which, in 1979, america modelers insisted existed, yet by no means demonstrated.
In a similar fashion, the UN IPCC idea of an equilibrium weather sensitivity has little that means. The earth hasn’t ever been in weather equilibrium, except for for faulty mathematical simulations of the earth’s weather equivalent to gave the impression within the notorious “hockey-stick.” One might argue that on the height of an ice age or height of a heat length the earth is at a weather equilibrium, yet that may be temporarily debunked by way of those that acknowledge the Milankovitch cycles, mentioned in final week’s TWTW.
In Local weather And so forth. former weather modeler Judith Curry discusses what hurt is there in spotting that the important thing factor is how a lot warming will happen from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) from nowadays? The query is: what’s essential for humanity now? Thus, making the UN claims of warming from the 1880s frivolous. She additionally posts a counter argument to her place by way of a defender of the UN place. Within the Curry publish and the counter argument a brand new idea is offered: TCRE, brief weather reaction to cumulative carbon emissions, i.e., the connection between temperatures and cumulative emissions.
The TCRE idea seems to have little worth. If the present stages of atmospheric CO2 aren’t inflicting vital warming of the ambience, why introduce new ideas that avoids the singular problems? How a lot atmospheric warming is going on from CO2 nowadays? Secondly, how a lot will happen with a doubling of CO2? Sure, there may be uncertainty in regards to the weather within the past due a part of this century.
However we don’t perceive the pure reasons of weather replace and they’re extra vital than human emitted greenhouse gases. We can’t are expecting subsequent month’s climate, why be expecting extra exact predictions for 80 years from now? See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and Protecting the Orthodoxy.
Situations: Within the first of 2 portions, Roger Pielke Jr. describes how using eventualities has been distorted by way of the weather science neighborhood. He states:
“Situations of the long run have lengthy sat on the middle of discussions of weather science, affects and adaptation and mitigation insurance policies. State of affairs making plans has a protracted historical past and can also be traced to the RAND Company all through Global Conflict 2 and, later (sarcastically sufficient) Shell, a fossil gas corporate. Situations aren’t meant to be forecasts of the long run, yet relatively to function an alternative choice to forecasting. Situations supply an outline of imaginable futures contingent upon more than a few components, just a few of which could be underneath the management of resolution makers.”
Sadly, the IPCC gifts eventualities, which can also be referred to as fables, as believable results, with the worst happening if the countries of the sector don’t post to UN management of CO2 emissions. The UN has no management of pure variability, and the IPCC ignores it. See hyperlink underneath Science, Coverage, and Proof.
Power Poverty: Writing in Actual Transparent Power, Katie Tahauha of the Texas Public Coverage Basis addresses unlucky new phrases decided on by way of two English dictionaries. She states:
“It’s that point of 12 months. As New Yr’s Eve approaches, we glance again on 2019 in the hunt for nuggets of knowledge from twelve extra months of the human enjoy. Sadly, the Phrase of the Yr picks from two peak dictionaries disclose simply how out of place this 12 months’s priorities had been.
“The Oxford English Dictionary decided on ‘weather disaster’ because the time period that ‘displays the ethos, temper, or preoccupations of the passing 12 months.’ Putting a in a similar way dismal notice, Dictionary.com’s variety was once ‘existential.’
“A greater phrase of the 12 months for 2019? Power poverty.”
She is going directly to state:
“Even family chores pose a danger with out calories. Just about Four million perish yearly from preventable lung and center illness brought about by way of breathing in soot when cooking over an indoor hearth. The pure fuel or electrical stoves we take with no consideration would actually save lives in creating international locations.”
TWTW may possibly disagree with the dimensions of the estimates of those that die from preventable lung and center illness from indoor fires yet consents that indoor cooking and heating fires are preventable fitness threats. See hyperlinks underneath Wondering the Orthodoxy.
Collection of the Week: 3-Fold Build up in Fish. Since 2010, researchers at Southern Go College were finding out the affect of the very salty discharge from a desalination plant close to Sydney, together with sessions when the plant briefly ceased operations. The lead researcher mentioned:
“’There was once a 279 in step with cent building up in fish lifestyles. It’s the most important end result, as large-scale desalination is changing into a vital part of future-proofing the water provides of foremost towns, equivalent to Sydney, Perth, and Melbourne’ Professor Kelaher stated.”
The paper’s summary states:
“At 12 occasions sooner than, 8 occasions all through, and 4 occasions following the cessation of discharging hypersaline brine, we sampled reef fishes at two outlet websites and two shut reference websites, in addition to 4 reference websites that had been positioned from 2–eight km from the hole. At every website online and every time of sampling, 5 50 m video transects had been used to pattern reef fish assemblages. Following the graduation of discharging, there was once a 279% building up within the abundance of fish across the outlet, which incorporated considerably better abundances of pelagic and demersal fish, in addition to fishes focused by way of leisure and business fishers. Following the cessation of discharge, abundances of fishes most commonly returned to stages such that there was once now not an important impact in comparison to the length previous to the graduation of the desalination plant’s operations. Total, our effects show that well-designed marine infrastructure and processes used to strengthen the rising call for for potable water too can beef up native fish abundances and species richness.”
If such will increase in fish inhabitants are showed by way of research of alternative discharges from desalination crops, then the inside track is very certain. Desalination has transform sensible, inexpensive, choice to groundwater pumping in coastal spaces the place land subsidence has transform an issue, such because the Tidewater area of Virginia. [There is some issue about terminology: is a 279 per cent increase an almost threefold increase or an almost fourfold increase?] See hyperlinks underneath Different Information that Might Be of Pastime
NEWS YOU CAN USE:
Remark: Is the Solar Emerging?
Opposite Polarity Sunspots seem at the Solar – finishing a 39 day stretch of spotless days
Via Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 24, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental World Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2013
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental World Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), 2014
Local weather Alternate Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
Via More than one Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental World Panel on Local weather Alternate, April 2019
Obtain without a rate:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Document at the Medical Consensus
Via Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental World Panel on Local weather Alternate (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
Obtain without a rate:
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
International Sea-Degree Upward thrust: An Analysis of the Information
Via Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Might 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Three levels C?
Via Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Dec 23, 2019
Activists Don’t Prevail, However Check out, Check out Once more on Local weather Attribution Science,
Via Spencer Walrath, Power in Intensity, Dec 19, 2019
Hyperlink to paper: Attributing ocean acidification to foremost carbon manufacturers
Via R. Linker, et al. Environmental Analysis Letters, Dec 11, 2019
Via Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist, Dec 21, 2019
On Local weather Sensitivity
Via Richard Lindzen, with Overview The help of Roy Spencer, CO2 Coalition, 2019
Failed Serial Doomcasting
Via Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019
The Laughable Lust for Seriousness
Via Tim Blair, Quadrant, AU, Dec 27, 2019
“The lust for seriousness is essentially the most craven of vices. And it ends up in the worst results. Over many many years, as an example, generations of very severe folks—state and federal politicians, most commonly—have sat round and thought to be how preferrred to regulate Australia’s calories desires. They took cautious inventory of our considerable provides of coal, our monumental fuel reserves and our massive uranium deposits. They performed severe research, they consulted severe professionals they usually labored severe hours.
“After which they delivered a device that fees some of the absolute best calories costs on earth.”
Protecting the Orthodoxy
5 causes COP25 weather talks failed
Via Marlowe Hood, AFP, Dec 25, 2019
“A few of the almost 30,000 diplomats, professionals, activists and newshounds authorised to wait the summit had been loads of high-octane fossil gas lobbyists.
“They’re jointly the elephant within the room: we all know what reasons weather replace nevertheless it is thought of as impolitic inside the UN weather bubble to indicate hands.”
[SEPP Comment: What caused the ending of ice ages?]
Two extra levels by way of 2100!
Via Vaughan Pratt, Local weather And so forth. Dec 27, 2019
Wondering the Orthodoxy
A Higher Phrase of the Yr for 2019: Power Poverty
Via Katie Tahuahua, Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019
Find out about: No Discernible Hyperlink From CO2 Forcing To Local weather For 97% Of The Remaining 425 Million Years
Via Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 23, 2019
A Made up our minds Lack Of Equilibrium
Via Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 26, 2019
350 Papers Printed Since 2017 Subvert The Declare That Publish-1850s Warming Has Been Peculiar, International
Via Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 26, 2019
Bushfires and Local weather Alternate: No Hyperlink In any way
Via James Jeffery, Quadrant, AU, Dec 26, 2019
A 12 months of useless weather insanity looms
Via David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 26, 2019
“Politicians promising the unattainable, to be delivered within the some distance far away destiny, do no hurt. Therefore their recognition.”
The Actual Global Intrudes at the UN Local weather Convention
Via William R. Hawkins, American Philosopher, Dec 24, 2019
UN’s Madrid Local weather Conferences Produce Internet-0 Advantages
Via Larry Bell, Newsmax, Dec 23, 2019
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
Main Evolutionary Biologist Says “CO2 Is A Blessing”, Rejects Cult-Like “Earth Warmth Dying” Claims
German evolutionary biologist and physiologist Prof. Dr. Ulrich Kutschera informed in an interview that “CO2 is a blessing for mankind” and that the claimed “97% consensus” amongst scientists is “a fantasy”
Via P Gosselin, from Die kalte Sonne, By means of No Methods Zone, Dec 22, 2019
In quest of a Not unusual Floor
Via Richard Feynman, Nationwide Science Lecturers Affiliation, 1966
Via Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser, Our Global in Information, November 2019
International Tropical Cyclone Process
Via Ryan N. Maue, Local weather Atlas, Dec 29, 2019]
In 2020 Local weather Science Wishes To Hit The Reset Button, Section One
Via Roger Pielke, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019 [Jeff Reynolds]
Dimension Problems — Floor
Lifeless Dingoes Don’t Lie, However Local weather Scientists Do
Via Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019
“Not one of the claims being made about list warmth or fires are credible, yet this is same old running process for weather scientists.”
Provisional US Twister Stats–Some other Yr With out An EF-Five
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019
From arctic blasts to warmth waves, this 12 months’s climate broke greater than 120,000 data in america
Via Christina Walker, CNN, Dec 24, 2019
The Previous Polar Vortex
Via Tony Heller, Actual Local weather Science, Dec 26, 2019
What Can You See, Indicating Sea Ranges are Emerging?
Via Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Dec 28, 109
In style Outer Banks island lower aside by way of Typhoon Dorian is reforming and rising
Via Mark Worth, Information & Observer, Dec 20, 2019 [H/t Bill Balgord]
Converting Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Dec. 22 Arctic Ice Just about Commonplace
Via Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 23, 2019
Too A lot Snow For Rudolf!
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 26, 2019
Scientists to find massive meteor crater in northeast China
Via Workforce Writers, Harbin, China (XNA), Dec 27, 2019
“The Lancet” on Well being and Local weather Alternate: A Story of Editorial Bias
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Local weather Alternate to make Boxing Day cricket extinct. ABC and Monash make historical past extinct.
Via Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 27, 2019
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Bloomberg: RCP8.Five Local weather Disaster is Not likely – As a result of Affordable Renewables
Via Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
FT: Low Pastime Charges are an Alternative to Spend Giant on Renewable Power
Via Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019
Find out about Presentations How Air pollution, Local weather Alternate May Make Us Dumber
Via Bruce Y. Lee, Forbes, Dec 22, 2019
“I’m a author, journalist, professor, methods modeler, computational and virtual fitness skilled, avocado-eater, and entrepreneur, no longer all the time in that order.”
“For the paper, Kristopher Karnauskas and Shelly Miller from the College of Colorado and Anna Schapiro from the College of Pennsylvania discovered research that confirmed the connection between CO2 stages and considering skill and created a predictive style of what may occur over the years, giving present developments in fossil gas pollutants.”
[SEPP Comment: The Navy and NASA have extensive studies on the relationship between CO2 and thinking ability. Did the modelers use these studies?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
Chemophobia: Just about 40% Of Europeans Need A Chemical-Loose Global
Via Alex Berezow, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019
“A brand new be taught unearths that almost 40% of Europeans wish to ‘reside in a global the place chemical compounds don’t exist.’ Some other 82% didn’t know that desk salt is desk salt, if it is extracted from the sea or made synthetically.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters
“I don’t wish to die!” Local weather Exploitation of Youngsters
Via Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019
Video by way of Buddies of Science
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Youngsters for Propaganda
Greta The Film
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 23, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Greta’s comment “We’ve had enough” followed by a long pause should be directed to those who are shamelessly using her for propaganda.]
Wondering Inexperienced In other places
Inexperienced ideology, no longer weather replace, makes bushfires worse
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019
[SEPP Comment: According to the Volunteer Fire Fighters Association of New South Wales.]
2019 Wildfires burn 20 occasions as a lot land as controlled gas discount in NSW (to this point)
Via Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 22, 2019
Local weather replace and bushfires — Extra rain, the similar droughts, no style, no science
Via Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 24, 2019
[SEPP Comment: The graph comparing 67 years of areas of prescribed burns and bushfires is telling.]
Are Australian Wildfires Due To Local weather Alternate?
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 24, 2019
Exxon and Proof 101
Via John S. Baker, Jr. Actual Transparent Power, Dec 20, 2019
“The issue for these types of legal professionals common is that states don’t have any jurisdiction over weather replace. No matter one thinks about weather replace, the climatic phenomena know no borders. If the rest will have to be performed about weather replace, it’s correctly dedicated to the government.”
[SEPP Comment: Why should lack of jurisdiction stop an ambitious AG?]
Court docket orders EPA to jot down temperature management plans for Columbia, Snake
Via George Plaven, Capital Press, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Ken Schlichte]
“The ruling by way of the ninth U.S. Circuit Court docket of Appeals is more likely to accentuate the continued debate over breaching 4 Decrease Snake River dams in Jap Washington to extend salmon and steelhead runs.”
[SEPP Comment: Maybe the court will order plans for rainfall!]
It Might Have Simply Gotten A Lot More straightforward To Sue Exxon And Shell For Local weather Alternate Devastation
A brand new investigation supplies essentially the most “tough” proof but connecting fossil gas businesses to climate-related human rights violations, criminal professionals say.
Via Kyla Mandel, HuffPost, Dec 12, 2019
“Over the past 3 years, the Philippines Fee on Human Rights (CHR) has been amassing proof on whether or not massive oil, coal, fuel and mining businesses — equivalent to Shell, Chevron and Exxon — can also be held chargeable for the human struggling brought about by way of weather replace.”
Cap-and-Business and Carbon Taxes
AEP’s Carbon Tax Fable
Via Paul Homewood, Now not a Lot of Other folks Know That, Dec 27, 2019
The Carbon Tax: the Giant Town ‘Incentivizes’ Rural Vermonters
Via John Klar, American Philosopher, Dec 26, 2019
[SEPP Comment: In Vermont, imaginative slogans replace analysis?]
Subsidies and Mandates Ceaselessly
Congress Says Nay to Increasing EV Tax Credit
Via Matt Posky, The Fact About Vehicles, Dec 23, 2019 [H/t WUWT]
“President Donald Trump was once additionally imagined to were towards increasing EV credit, consistent with Senator Debbie Stabenow (D-MI). ‘There was excessive resistance from the president,’ she informed Bloomberg final week. ‘I don’t know why the White Space would wish to prevent jobs and the way forward for the automobile .’”
[SEPP Comment: If EVs are the future, why do they need subsidies?]
Power Problems – Non-US
International Herbal Fuel Electrical energy Is Gaining On Coal
Via Jude Clemente, Forbes, Dec 15, 2019
Gazprom Makes Ukraine Deal as U.S. Sanctions Russia Pipeline
Via Mathew Carr, Olga Tanas, Dina Khrennikova, and Daniel Flatley, Bloomberg, Dec 21, 2019
Norway Names Arguable Local weather Alternate Skeptic As New Oil Minister
Via Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Worth.com, Dec 18, 2019
Power Problems — US
Four Issues To Know About The N.H. Coal Plant Centered Via Local weather Protesters
Via Annie Ropeik, Ne Hampshire Public Radio, Dec 19, 2019
Oil and Herbal Fuel – the Long run or the Previous?
Chevron’s $10B Impairment: “one other symptom of height oil call for and the death of the oil ”?
Via David Middleton, WUWT, Dec 27, 2019
The Highest And Worst Oil Predictions Of 2019
Via Julianne Geiger, Oil Worth.com, Dec 15, 2019
Nuclear Power and Fears
Russia’s New Floating Nuclear Energy Plant Starts Handing over Electrical energy To The Arctic
Via Tyler Durden, 0 Hedge, Dec 24, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Best 6 Nuclear Energy Achievements of the Yr
Via Aaron Larson, Energy Magazine, Dec 2, 2019
Choice, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Sun and Wind
Wind, photo voltaic face destiny with out subsidies
Via James Osborne, Houston Chronical, By means of GWPF, Dec 26, 2019
Power & Environmental E-newsletter: December 23, 2019
Via John Droz, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 23, 2019
Choice, Inexperienced (“Blank”) Cars
German Professor Of Mechanical Engineering Says Electrical Mobility “A Useless Dream”…”Will By no means Paintings”
Via P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 25, 2019
Police Wasted £1.Five Million on electrical Vehicles That Can’t Chase Criminals
Via Kurt Zindulka, Breitbart, Dec 26, 2019 [H/t WUWT]
California within the age of wildfires: Dwelling within the state of denial
“It’s almost certainly going to take extra folks demise, or dropping their properties and getting displaced, sooner than folks notice this example isn’t going to leave”
Via Daphne White, San Francisco Curbed, Dec 27, 2019 [H/t Bob Zybach]
[SEPP Comment: California’s “Age of Wildfires” is an entirely artificial construct created by government policies. A better term could be an “Age of Fueling Wildfires” by incompetent governments.]
Rainy Years, Dry Years
Via Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Dec 25, 2019
Well being, Power, and Local weather
Gretins wish to ban bronchial asthma inhalers
Via Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Dec 22, 2019
“Bronchial asthma carbon footprint ‘as massive as consuming meat’”
Are BPA Alarmists Beating A Lifeless Molecule?
Via Josh Bloom, ACSH, Dec 18, 2019
Different Medical Information
385-million-year-old tree root unearths global’s oldest trendy woodland
Via Brooks Hays, Washington (UPI), Dec 20, 2019
Sydney’s desalination discharge boosts fish lifestyles in time of weather uncertainty
Press Free up by way of Southern Go College, Dec 19, 2019
Hyperlink to paper: Impact of Desalination Discharge at the Abundance and Variety of Reef Fishes
Via Brendan P. Kelaher, et al. Environmental Science Generation, Dec 18, 2019
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Eco-builders are clutching at straws
Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 23, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Links to an article in The Times (UK) of people building new homes using bales of straw. Will it work in California or Australia?]
The Emmas! Primary New Eco-Awards Named After Emma Thompson
Press Free up, GWPF, Dec 21, 2019
1. PG&E: Stressed to Fail
The application has sparked fatal fires and pipeline explosions, left tens of millions of Californians at nighttime and long past bankrupt two times in not up to 15 years. Right here’s what went mistaken.
Via Russell Gold, Rebecca Smith and Katherine Blunt, WSJ, Dec 28, 2019
TWTW Abstract: The newshounds write:
“PG&E Corp. Leader Government Tony Earley appreciated the speculation the minute he heard it. He would replace the signature line on corporate emails —’PG&E is dedicated to protective our shoppers’ privateness’— to advertise protection as a substitute.
“Six months after a peak state regulator steered it, not anything had took place.
“‘We’ve got yet one more degree of governance to move via sooner than we will be able to replace,’ Jack Hagan, the regulator, recalled Mr. Earley pronouncing.
“‘I stated, ‘You’ve were given to be kidding me.’ He couldn’t get it performed.’
“For the previous 15 years, PG&E has plotted a spherical travel from one chapter to one other. In between, it navigated the aftermath of a catastrophic natural-gas pipeline explosion and a sequence of increasingly more not easy green-energy mandates from state regulators.
“Managing that push and pull would have challenged any corporate. It proved to be particularly difficult for a plodding application present process control upheaval, closely regulated and saddled with ageing, ignored apparatus.
“Executives had been so centered at the previous and the long run that the existing sneaked up on them. PG&E’s electrical strains, after years of deferred upkeep, had been threatening drought-parched California. When the Camp Hearth began to burn in past due 2018, ultimately killing 85 folks, it was once the primary of 4 fires that PG&E reported it sparked that day. It was once its 408th of 2018, and the 1,961st since record-keeping began in mid-2014.
“1000’s of pages of paperwork and ratings of interviews display Mr. Earley, just like the CEO sooner than him and the person who adopted him, struggled to persuade the send. One attempted to reimagine the corporate. When that failed, the following one worked to go back to the fundamentals of safely turning in continual. The final was once left to stand the results.
“‘We recognize that we’ve fallen quick up to now, too again and again with tragic penalties,’ PG&E stated in a written commentary, including that it has made many wanted adjustments in body of workers and practices. ‘We all know we’ve got a lot more paintings to do to fulfill the problem of safely offering electrical carrier in a modified and converting weather.’”
Skipping over many efforts by way of corporate executives the account brings up the most important level on renewable calories:
“California Regulators saved up the drive to fulfill the state’s competitive renewable calories objectives.
“Via 2012, PG&E was once spending greater than $1.2 billion a 12 months to fulfill the goals, greater than double what it spent in 2003, consistent with PG&E filings, and it was once projected to peak $2 billion by way of 2015. Mr. Peevey, the utilities fee head, addressed fear that Californians confronted a ‘price bomb’ because the offers kicked in.
“‘There’s no loose lunch right here,’ he informed state senators, explaining that the contracts, although pricey, had been making California an calories chief, and prices for destiny tasks would fall.
“Via 2015, the state discovered PG&E was once paying a median of 12 cents a kilowatt hour for renewable electrical energy. 4 years previous, it paid not up to eight cents.
Consistent with an accompanying chart, in 2012, when PG&E was once spending $1.2 billion on renewable goals, it spent $zero.47 billion on electrical upkeep and $zero.32 billion on fuel upkeep.[TWTW Comment: This report is a decades-long account on the inability of PG&E to satisfy all its masters, including its stock and bond holders, regulators, politicians etc. But the reporters fail to mention that the ultimate master, those to whom the Constitution of the State of California grants final power, is the State Legislature.]
2. The Roundup Stickup
An ordeal legal professional allegedly argued it’s less expensive to be extorted than sued.
Editorial, WSJ, Dec 25, 2019
TWTW Abstract: The editorial states:
“Tort legal professionals incessantly use the specter of jackpot verdicts to extort settlements from industry goals. But if does a shakedown transform legal extortion? Remaining week the government charged Timothy Litzenburg for allegedly crossing that criminal line.
“Mr. Litzenburg, 37, made a reputation for himself on the Miller Company in Virginia, the place he was once a part of a staff suing Bayer on behalf of a groundskeeper who stated the weed killer Roundup brought about his most cancers. Trial legal professionals benefit by way of taking a hefty bite of a agreement or damages. But if Mr. Litzenburg opened his personal regulation company final 12 months, he allegedly had a distinct industry style in thoughts.
“The feds say the extortion plot started in September when Mr. Litzenburg despatched a draft grievance to ‘Corporate 1,’ known by way of the Wall Side road Magazine as Amsterdam-based chemical maker Nouryon. The legal professional stated the corporate had created chemical substances utilized in Roundup and ‘knew of the carcinogenic houses of those chemical substances yet did not warn’ customers in regards to the dangers, the federal grievance says.
“Mr. Litzenburg allegedly adopted up his draft lawsuit danger with an be offering, which he repeated in emails and recorded telephone calls. The corporate might pay the plaintiff $Five million, input right into a $200 million ‘consulting association’ with him and his mates, and steer clear of what Mr. Litzenburg allegedly described as ‘the parade of horribles that has been the Roundup litigation for Bayer/Monsanto.’
“‘Some other factor I will be able to ensure and warrant: within the absence of a so-called ‘international’ or ultimate take care of me, this may definitely balloon into an existential danger’ to the corporate, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly wrote in an e-mail. The federal grievance says he warned that ‘protection prices and value to in the end get to the bottom of the hundreds or tens of hundreds of instances can be nicely into the billions, atmosphere apart the related drop in inventory value and popularity injury.’
“Mr. Litzenburg additionally allegedly stated that ‘despite the fact that you guys win instances and pressure worth down,’ there was once not going ‘any approach so that you can get out of it for not up to 1000000000 bucks. And so, you recognize, to me, uh, this can be a hearth sale value that you simply guys will have to imagine.’
“If the corporate paid up, Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated he’d discourage others from submitting destiny proceedings. To discourage plaintiffs, he’d even imagine taking part in a pre-trial deposition to which the corporate might convey its personal toxicology professionals, ‘and we ask the mistaken questions,’ making a ‘transcript the place I principally were given whacked,’ Mr. Litzenburg allegedly stated in a recorded name. The transcript may well be ‘saved in a vault someplace to drag out should you ever were given stricken by way of somebody that didn’t know me or no matter,’ he stated, consistent with the grievance.
“As a substitute of agreeing to Mr. Litzenburg’s alleged be offering, the corporate referred to as federal prosecutors”.
The editorial states that the topic didn’t reply to requests for remark, and his legal professional claims that paperwork may possibly include inaccuracies. The editorial continues
“Mr. Litzenburg gets his day in courtroom, yet all the Roundup litigation is a stickup. The Environmental Coverage Company and global regulators have performed in depth analysis and concluded that glyphosate, the energetic aspect in Roundup, isn’t carcinogenic. That proof hasn’t stopped 3 juries from implementing greater than $2.Four billion in consequences. Judges have lower the ones cumulative damages to a few $189 million, and the verdicts are being appealed. However Bayer faces Roundup proceedings from some 42,700 plaintiffs.
“Mr. Litzenburg will have figured he might escape together with his alleged extortion as a result of he’s observed first-hand the wear that junk-science litigation can do without reference to the reality.”